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Is Lebo The Right Man To Lead The Auburn Program?

Below is a diary entry from one of our readers, Power of Dixieland that examines the state of Auburn basketball. He makes some very valid points.  Jeff Lebo gets a lot of credit for his team playing hard, but as the writer points out, there’s more to it than just hustling up and down the court...

By Power of Dixieland

The Auburn men's basketball team lost its game against Georgia, 59-54 on Wednesday night. It was the last home game of the season, and the last home game for seniors Frank Tolbert and Quan Prowell (as well as Archie Miaway and benchwarmer Adam Luquire).

The loss dropped the Tigers to 14-14 overall and 4-11 in SEC play. They likely will not qualify for postseason play, unless there’s a highly unexpected run through the SEC tournament to the SEC championship.

This is Jeff Lebo's fourth team, and he has amassed an overall record of 57-62 and 19-44 in SEC play. His year-by-year totals are 14-17 (4-12), 12-16 (4-12), 17-15 (7-9), and this season, 14-14 (4-11).

This latest loss was another disappointment in a season full of them. This already smallish team has been decimated with injuries, which hasn't helped matters. However, it makes me wonder if Jeff Lebo is really the right man to lead Auburn basketball to the next level.

We have lost our last two games at home to South Carolina and Georgia, arguably the two worst teams in the SEC (other than Auburn). Like I said earlier, we likely will not be selected for the NIT, meaning that every year under Lebo the Tigers have failed to even make the NIT.

When Lebo arrived in 2004, he had to pick up the pieces following the fallout of the Cliff Ellis mess. Key players from the previous year's team transferred after Ellis was fired, and he arrived with the cupboard bare. However, there has been little improvement if any at all in the basketball program in the last four years.

There is no doubt Lebo's players play hard for him. However, in my opinion there are three important parts to building a successful basketball team: talent, hard work, and coaching (scheming). The team works hard at what they do, but they aren't that talented and the schemes don't work.

That's one out of three.

An elite team has all three parts, a good team has two of three, and bad teams have zero or one. Taking a glance at the Rivals.com basketball recruiting index for 2008, so far Auburn is ranked 10th out of 12 SEC teams, and not on their top 30 radar, so talent isn't likely to improve.

Unless Lebo undergoes a drastic style change, his schemes aren't going to work, so we will toil at or near the bottom of the SEC unless either of those changes.

I understand that our facilities aren't exactly top-of-the-line (and will be vastly improved in a couple of years), and as mentioned earlier, we have endured an unusually high number of injuries this season.

However, I wonder how a higher-level coach, like a Mike Krzyzewski, a Ben Howland, or even a Bruce Pearl would have done with this team this season. I'm not advocating we get any of these coaches (nor do I even think for the slightest moment that any of them would leave their jobs for the Auburn job).

I think it's time that we blow up the men's basketball program as it currently stands and start from scratch. I don't think I can take another year of losing basketball.

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We could have had...

.....Mike Anderson. I kept saying it. Ed Richardson TOTALLY blew it, and no, that's not one we can blame on Jay Jacobs, as he wasn't on board at the time. So, Mike and his 40 minutes of Hell went west, to Missouri. Some folks suggested that Auburn wasn't ready to hire a black coach at ANYTHING. Lebo was the safe hire. The non-controversy hire. The knowledgeable hire that would do it without getting us on probation again. After all of the veteran, talented Cliff Ellis guys bolted, I was down. I was Lebo's worst critic, especially when we lost Toney Douglas. Douglas is leading FSU in scoring this year, but hey. FSU is 6-9 in ACC play. Douglas hasn't exactly been a winner for them, either.

.....Our loss was Missouri's gain. Or was it? Hmmm. Where is Mizzou, now, 4 years into the Richardson regime? Yeah. 16-14, 6-9 in the Big 12. Tenth place. Just like us. The top three Mizzou basketball stories on their ESPN team page are arrests or guys getting kicked off the team. Fights. Curfew violations. Arrested. Assault charges. Sounds a lot like T-Town football, eh?

.....The future at Auburn looks brighter, next year. Auburn basketball has a serious talent infusion headed our way. We'll be young, but some veteran folks like Josh Dollard should be back to lead it. Lebo's run a LOT of folks off, but relatively few he actually recruited. We've had some horrid injury luck.

.....When I look at SEC coaches, obviously you have to look at Florida, and Billy Donovan. This guy manufactures dangerous team after team. Green at UT has done pretty well. As to the rest, I'll stack Lebo up against any of the survivors of the past half-decade. Honestly, with the transition of our program from the dismal Beave to new Lowder showplace, I think Lebo gets at least two more years, barring collapse or scandal.

.....And really. If we fire Lebo, who are we going to get? Another wet-behind-the-ears Div. II guy like Lebo was 5 years ago? A young hard-head like Mike Gottfried? Damaged goods like Huggins or Knight? Come on, guys. War Eagle! Let's pull behind the quality coach we have!

by Acid Reign on Mar 6, 2008 8:31 PM CST   0 recs

Retort

When we were looking for a new coach after Ellis was fired, I was also a huge Mike Anderson proponent. I thought his brand of basketball would transition well to the SEC, and that he could connect with some of the state and region's top talent. Missouri is a traditional power, but the job he's done so far hasn't exactly turned any heads. You can't assume he would have done poorly at Auburn like Missouri, but you also have to wonder if he's a coach who's better suited for mid-major hoops instead of big-time college basketball. Anyway, Mike Anderson wasn't the point of this retort, so I'll get back on point.

You raise some good points. We're getting Josh Dollard back next year, hopefully our luck won't be as bad as it's been, so I'd say if we keep him, make sure he knows he's coaching for his job next year. Like I said in the original post, his schemes don't work. I haven't watched every Auburn basketball game (only seen one live, actually, watched a couple more on TV), but I have seen his teams over the last few years. How many times have you seen one of his Auburn teams get the ball, run down the court, put up a three with nobody under the basket, and give up an easy defensive rebound? They are clueless when it comes to breaking a 2-3 zone. He needs to call up Roy Williams, John Calipari, or even John Beilein and learn some new schemes.

If we were to let Lebo go, I would look to the mid-major ranks for our next coach. But you have be smart about it. For instance, when we were looking between Anderson and Lebo, here's what each had on his resume:

Anderson had come off a season where he took a mid-major team to the sweet sixteen, knocking #1 seed (and if I recall correctly, #1 in the country) Kentucky along the way.

Lebo had taken Chattanooga to records of 21-9 (11-5 SoCon) and 19-11 (10-6) without even an NIT bid. In fact, in his six seasons previous to taking over at Auburn, he only had one postseason appearance, in 2002 with Tennessee Tech.

Although both were at least mildly successful at their mid-tier programs, but Anderson had the better postseason resume.

Take the following example from Tennessee of making smart mid-major hires. When UT let Jerry Green go after the 2001 season, they hired Buzz Peterson, who was a year removed from an NIT Championship in his only season at Tulsa. He went to Tulsa after some success at Appalachian State, including one NCAA Tournament bid. He proceeded to perform at UT in four years about how Lebo has performed in his four years at Auburn. UT let Peterson go, in what was a controversial move. They hired Bruce Pearl, who had just taken Wisconsin-Milwaukee to a run to the sweet 16, and you can see the results.

So if we let Lebo go, who do we target? I would go after someone from a mid-major program with success against major conference teams, and particularly NCAA tournament success. Keno Davis has done wonders at Drake in only his first season, although that hire would be a little risky. Anthony Grant is in his second season at VCU, and knocked off Duke in the first round of the tournament last season. Maybe we could even lure a Sean Marshall away from Xavier. The point is, Sonny Smith was one of the best coaches we've had. We plucked him from ETSU, where he turned the program around in three years, and then the rest is Auburn basketball history.

The coach hunt is all a little premature, and I doubt we let Lebo go after this season. But with each passing loss, you have to ask yourself, "Is Jeff Lebo the right man for the Auburn basketball job?"

War Damn Eagle!

by PowerOfDixieland on Mar 6, 2008 10:19 PM CST to parent up   0 recs

Old, senile memory.

.....It's Bruce Pearl at UT, not Jerry Green. Brain-fart! Flame away...

by Acid Reign on Mar 6, 2008 8:35 PM CST   0 recs

charles barkley..

for the win! ok im kidding. haha but hey, atleast its a big name!

personally though. i think lebo can be a top notch coach if given the right talent and circumstances... now if those two things will ever fall auburn's away again.. that is yet to be seen..

by Bodagetta on Mar 6, 2008 10:47 PM CST   0 recs

I agree with one thing...

and that is that Lebo has not recruited strong enough to compete in the SEC. I find it hard to fault his game planning and scheme at this point because with the record as bad as it is he has done a good job of keeping an undersized and shorthanded team in a lot of games that on paper we should have been blown out of. The recruiting has been the biggest letdown and having seen the same out of every other coach at AU since Sonny Smith I have to wonder if AU can change its persona with top recruits the way UF has under Donovan. I am for one not ready to throw Lebo under the bus "yet". But he needs to make a splash on the recruiting trail this year or lots of folks will be calling for his head.

And don't get me wrong I really like Sonny Smith, but do you remember why Sonny Smith was pushed out the door? It is easy to recruit when you turn a blind eye to boosters lining pockets. Lebo is recruiting this year with new facilities on the horizon. I wonder how that might affect his recruiting.

by Todd92 on Mar 7, 2008 9:01 AM CST   0 recs

Your Billy Donovan analogy is spot on

Except that before Donovan showed up, Florida had some success under Lon Kruger (including a Final Four run). We have recruited poorly for sure, but Alabama has some talent in the high school ranks, so there's no reason to believe that we couldn't be successful at recruiting.

I'm not hoping with all my heart we fire Jeff Lebo. He is a genuine person, and I threw some TP into trees at Toomer's after a 24-point win over Alabama last season. However, nice doesn't necessarily translate into victories. I don't want a mean guy who cheats his way to victories by any stretch, but I want to be able to beat the two worst teams in the SEC at home.

War Damn Eagle!

by PowerOfDixieland on Mar 7, 2008 1:22 PM CST to parent up   0 recs

That should say

I threw some TP into trees at Toomer's with him afte a 24-point win over Alabama last season.

War Damn Eagle!

by PowerOfDixieland on Mar 7, 2008 4:37 PM CST to parent up   0 recs

I've asked this question before...

...but no one has ever answered it:  Why are we so low on scholarships again?  Were we on probation? You'll have to excuse my ignorance.

Although I'm not in tune to the BB program like some of you are, I, too, agree that we should give Lebo some latitude here.  Considering the mess he inherited, it might be wise to give him another year or two to get something going.

It's been a while since we had any kind of pedigree in BB with players or coaches. There is a chance that if Lebo is able to get a little momentum going, that some future recruits may see Lebo's UNC background and decide that they want to learn under a coach that came from there.  You just never know...

Nice article, POD, by the way.

by War Eagle Atlanta on Mar 7, 2008 10:37 AM CST   0 recs

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