Full Moon on Rocky Top!
Eric Berry decking Knowshon Moreno!
War Eagle, everybody! Time now for another in the series of previews of 2009 Auburn football opponents. On October 3rd, Auburn travels to Knoxville Tennessee, under the light of a nearly full moon, to play the Tennessee Volunteers, in both squads' 5th game of the season. There are many similarities in the two teams, leading up to this game. Both have hired new coaches after disappointing years. Both will have played a national power by this time, and likely will have at least one loss. Auburn will likely fall to West Virginia at home, and Tennessee will likely lose to Florida in Gainesville. Both schools get a "breather" game, afterward, Auburn against Ball State, and Tennessee against Ohio. Both schools return fairly salty defenses, and both were miserable on offense. Both schools have been publicized for secondary NCAA violations, during the past off-season.
On defense, Auburn and Tennessee face a bit of a learning curve, as both teams are switching to what amounts to a Tampa-2 style of defense. Auburn has been running parts of the defense since head coach Gene Chizik's tenure as Auburn defensive coordinator from 2002-2004. Tennessee faces a steeper curve, after basically running a 3-deep zone under former coordinator John Chavis. One of the inventors of the Tampa-2, Monte Kiffin, is now the defensive coordinator at Tennessee, and will likely do well in Knoxville. It may take Kiffin time, though, as he only returns 5 starters on defense, and 17 lettermen on that side of the ball. The unquestioned star of the returnees, of course, is junior all-everything safety Eric Berry. It will be important for Auburn offensive personnel to know where this dangerous man is, at all times!
A familiar face takes over the Vol special teams, former Auburn assistant coach Eddie Gran. The Vols have some weapons returning, including record-setting return men Dennis Rogan and Gerald Jones. Less certain are things beyond returners. The Vols return an average kick coverage unit, a suspect punt coverage group, and inconsistent kicking/punting.
Offensively, both teams were abysmal, last season, although Tennessee showed improvement down the stretch, while Auburn seemed to get worse all year. While Lane Kiffin and John Chaney favor a West Coast-style attack, it's not NEARLY as complicated as what Dave Clawson brought in a year ago, and one would expect the Vols to be a little bet better at executing it. Both squads had underachieving receiver corps, and suffered more via graduation. Outsiders are asking if either school has an SEC-worthy quarterback. By game five for both teams, the matchup will be an interesting comparison between Kiffen/Chaney and Auburn's Gus Malzhan. Who will have a consistent offense up and running, by mid-season?
It's worth noting that Neyland Stadium is a tremendous home environment for the Vols, and an intimidating one for opponents. Auburn will need some early success, to silence the Tennessee faithful, or else things could snowball.
Matchups
Auburn defensive line vs. UT offensive line: The Auburn line basically had their way with Tennessee, last fall, but the focal point, SenDerrick Marks, is gone. The Vols lose two starters from a year ago, and one of them was the solid Anthony Parker. Senior center Josh McNeil is a three-year starter, and senior left tackle Chris Scott should anchor the Vol line. Beyond those two, however, the Vols will be looking for answers against a shifting, speedy Auburn front. Advantage: Auburn.
Auburn linebackers vs. UT backs: Auburn's apparent strength a year ago, has become its weakness. Only two Tigers return that can be considered salty veterans, juniors Craig Stevens, and Josh Bynes. Neither distinguished themselves a year ago, and the likely third starter is JUCO transfer Eltoro Freeman. Tennessee loses a threat in Arian Foster, but senior Montario Hardesty and sophomore Tauren Poole are capable. The Vols also bring in some freshmen threats, including David Oku. At fullback, the junior Kevin Cooper is a bruiser. Advantage: UT.
Auburn corners vs. UT receivers: The big news out of Auburn this week was the Achilles injury to senior corner Aaron Savage. He will be missed. However, the Tigers have a pair of capable starters, senior Walter McFadden and sophomore Neiko Thorpe, as well as a bit of young depth. Tennessee is looking for depth at receiver, as only junior Gerald Jones and senior Austin Rogers return with more than 10 catches. The Vols are looking for help from senior Quentin Hancock, who had no catches a year ago, but snagged 8 balls in the spring game. Advantage: Auburn.
Auburn safeties vs. UT secondary receivers and quarterback: Auburn's veteran safeties Zach Etheridge and Mike McNeil should be full-strength by October. Tennessee returns good tight ends, but questions at quarterback. The Vols have about a half-dozen good tight ends, with varying degrees of blocking, and possession-receiving capabilities. The leader is junior Luke Stocker, who is a decent blocker, and a better receiver. At quarterback, senior Jonathan Crompton and junior Nick Stephens return. Prior to this summer, B. J. Coleman was in the mix, too, running at the second position. Coleman has since left the team, with much vitriol towards the Kiffin staff. Neither Crompton nor Stephens was terribly effective a year ago, and it will be up to quarterbacks coach David Reaves to put a capable starter on the field. Reaves has been the QB coach through the past few seasons' carousel at South Carolina, so take that for what it's worth. Advantage: Auburn.
Punting: Auburn returns a good one in Clinton Durst, with a 42.1 yard average, and a coverage unit that gave up 7.0 yards per return. Gerald Jones averaged 10.0 yards per return, for the Vols. The Vols return junior Chad Cunningham, who started the first five games of 2008. Cunningham was inconsistent, and averaged a pedestrian 39.5 yards per punt. In coverage, the Vols were shaky, giving up a whopping 12.6 yards per return. While Auburn is not settled at the return position, one has to figure that it's Advantage: Auburn.
Kickoffs: Auburn's Wes Byrum won the job with a steady performance in spring drills, averaging over 65 yards. Chad Cunningham barely managed 60 yards a kickoff, a year ago. Auburn's coverage gave up 21.5 yards per return, Tennessee's 21.0. Tennessee's return men are very good, Dennis Rogan averaged 24.9 yards per return a year ago. Auburn's most experienced return guy is junior Mario Fannin, who averaged 22.5 yards per return. Slight Advantage: Auburn, mostly on leg strength.
Placekicking: It's a tale of two placekickers who are eerily similar. Both Auburn's Wes Byrum, and Tennessee's Daniel Lincoln burst onto the scene hitting nearly all their kicks, and earning freshman accolades. Byrum hit only 11-19 as a sophomore, but has held off all challengers this spring. Daniel Lincoln hit 10-18 as a sophomore last year. Lincoln's inconsistencies have continued this spring; he missed a 30-yarder in the spring game. Advantage: Auburn.
Auburn offensive line vs. UT defensive line: Auburn performed dismally at year ago against the Vols, being unable to open many holes against a 4 man front with the linebackers dropped back ten yards. Auburn returns a veteran crew led by junior Lee Ziemba, and by all accounts, they are bigger and stronger than a year ago. Stout senior tackle Dan Williams returns for the Vols, but they are combing the depth chart for help beyond that. 257-pound end Wes Brown moved inside to tackle, to help out. Don't cry too much for the Vols, though because there is plenty of talent, it's just a matter of fitting it all together well. 312-pound redshirt freshman Montori Hughes was said to be unblockable this spring, for instance. Advantage: Even.
Auburn backs vs. UT linebackers: One has to like Auburn's combination of power and speed returning at tailback, including senior Ben Tate. Less impressive are the lead blockers, led by Mario Fannin and John Douglas. Tennessee loses two starters at linebacker, but second-team All-SEC senior Rico McCoy returns. Tennessee does have talent, but it is young at linebacker. The big worry for the Vols will be chasing speedy Auburn backs and slot receivers, with starters like junior Nick Reveiz, who aren't terribly fast. Advantage: Auburn.
Auburn receivers vs. UT corners: Auburn's underachieving unit from a year ago gets even younger, this season. Strides were made in spring drills, and help is on the way from stellar signee DeAngelo Benton. For the Vols, juniors Brent Vinson and Dennis Rogan are solid, speedy, and experienced. Advantage: UT.
Auburn secondary receivers and QB vs. UT safeties: Auburn was shaky a year ago at both spots, and didn't get many answers out of spring drills. Senior tight end Tommy Trott should be solid, and junior Mario Fannin showed flashes in the slot, but quarterback play in the spring was as spotty as ever. Tennessee headlines their media guide with junior free safety Eric Berry, who might be the best player, period, in the SEC. The Vols will be green at strong safety, which brings a ray of hope. Advantage: UT.
Auburn appears to be more settled in most positions, and appears to have a particular advantage along the defensive front. It could also be argued that Auburn will have less of a learning curve on both sides of the ball. Neither team is terribly deep, and injuries by game five could wreak havoc at spots, on either team. Tennessee is at home, which will count for a lot. Auburn's offensive scheme, however, seems like a perfect scenario to hound a Vol front seven suspect on speed. Both teams' fortunes will hinge on the signal caller's ability. Can either team find a capable quarterback?
Prediction: Auburn makes fewer mistakes than the Vols, and Gene Chizik pulls out his first "quality" SEC win, 17-16 in Knoxville!
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Comments
What?!
A likely loss against West Virginia? I know they have Noel Divine, but West Virginia without Pat White is completely doable.
by war damn philly on Jun 18, 2009 6:17 AM CDT reply actions
WVU is LOADED
Even at home, I see Auburn being a slight underdog in the WVU game. The only way I see us favored is if we come out of the gates this season showing HUGE improvments. Time will tell.
If you are a War Damn Eagle, you can War Damn anything.
WVU....
has to rebuild its offensive line and replace Pat White…..their defense is not SEC quality. AU wins convincingly at home.
I would have gone to bammer if my grades hadn't been good enough to go to AU
He is a fifth year senior......
and he has seen some meaningful minutes if only sparingly. But he still has to play behind a retooled and largley inexperienced line….and he has to be the show now. He doesn’t have Pat Whites mobility (huge understatement) so he has to make up for it with his arm……that means if his O-line can’t protect him or he can’t unload quickly he will have a very long day. I just don’t see WVU being as “loaded” as some may think.
I would have gone to bammer if my grades hadn't been good enough to go to AU
Yeah that would be fair...
or if not by 10 or more then I would say because WVU scores late to make the score not look as ugly for them. Either way AU handles them without the drama everyone seems to think will be there.
I would have gone to bammer if my grades hadn't been good enough to go to AU
Winning this game in Knoxville...
would be a good confidence boost for our team. I mean it wouldn’t be an epic upset or big time spotlight game probably but winning in that stadium is a good benchmark for your team.
War Eagle
Short comment on Neyland
I disagree with the comment: “It’s worth noting that Neyland Stadium is a tremendous home environment for the Vols, and an intimidating one for opponents.”
My only personal experience with Neyland is the 2004 game with AU was up by 30 at the half, but I commented to my wife more than once before the game that the fans, while loud and “going through the motions,” did not seem that “in” to the game as I would have expected (remember both AU and UT were, I believe, top 10 teams at the time). AU walked in there with a quiet self confidence and simply got the job done (although CTT took his foot off the gas the last half).
Anyhow, if Neyland is anything like it was that fun fall night 5 years ago, AU will play well.
Mmm
For some reason I really doubt that. Honestly, when it comes down to it, home field advantage doesn’t mean much when you are outmanned, and the 04 Auburn team was the best team in the nation that year, I believe. They were damned good.
But Tennessee fans do show up to play. Trust me. Especially in the big games. We aren’t like the 100+ thousand Michigan faithful who just rattle their keys at foes ;)
I wasn’t at the game, so I really can’t say much, but I doubt that Tennessee fans weren’t “in” to that game at the get-go. Midway through the half .. maybe. A good running game and a dominating performance can silence a lot of opposing fans, and that Auburn team had that.
This Auburn team .. does not. Or I don’t expect it to.
by bobo_the_vol on Jun 18, 2009 1:12 PM CDT up reply actions
I dunno bobo
I was at UT/Alabama this past year, Neyland seemed pretty much disinterested. The Bama fans were making tons of noise, for sure. I had an extra ticket and was trying to sell it. People were giving me offers of $5, $10 for the Third Saturday in October! I was really surprised.
"If on-base percentage is so important, then why don't they put it up on the scoreboard?" - Jeff Francouer
by jd is legend on Jun 18, 2009 4:00 PM CDT up reply actions
As a few extra comments about this
(Hey! I’m proud of our field!! ;) ) Here are a few stats I dredged up from some official team pages:
In 82 seasons and 509 games, the Vols are 398-94-17 at home, a winning percentage of .799.
From what I found on Jordan-Hare, yall’s is something like 243-59-7 (.798) . That’s a great winning percentage both ways, and shows how hard it is to win in the SEC. On a side note, did ya’ll know that Tennessee beat Auburn 42-0 in 1980 in Auburn? Yikes!
Also, the Auburn game mentioned was the 8th largest crowd ever at Tennessee. It’s gone through some change$ to give it a smaller overall capacity, but it is still definately one heck of a place to play.
The big question is this: does Auburn have the senior leaders who can calm the younger players down on the road. Auburn doesn’t have the talent (I don’t believe) to just completely negate any home field advantage, so it comes down to the upper classmen and coaches to do that for them.
Here’s a question: if last year’s game had been played in Knoxville, do you think we would have won?
by bobo_the_vol on Jun 18, 2009 1:34 PM CDT up reply actions
I dont want you to think I am disrepecting your field because I was sitting in a sky box with some nice UT friends. The physical structure and the fact that it was filled to the hilt can only be compared to what the Roman Coliseum must have looked like in its glory days. However, the crowd to me did not give the overwhelming home field advantage I would’ve expected at a stadium that large. Further, once AU got on the board, there was no looking back.
AU should be ready for a tough road game by the time this one rolls around and home field could be the deciding factor.
No matter where last year's AU/UT game was played
Everyone lost
"If on-base percentage is so important, then why don't they put it up on the scoreboard?" - Jeff Francouer
by jd is legend on Jun 18, 2009 4:02 PM CDT up reply actions
We have a good chance against West Virginia and a better than good chance against Tennessee.
WV is in more turmoil than we are. And Tennessee, although their QB looked good in their T-Day game, there is no one behind him if he goes down. Also, their kicker blew a short field goal.
Hopefully our kickers have stilled the voices in their heads this year and we will be better than 8-4.
I have every reason to believe...
that this game could be as boring as last year’s. But hopefully it will not be.
I might have to make my first trip ever to Knoxville…
by War Eagle Atlanta on Jun 18, 2009 11:23 AM CDT reply actions
Very true
Could be another slop fest, but it also could be an important turning point in our season I think.
War Eagle
This is a most difficult season to predict.
First of all….Acid…..nice preseason game/team analysis. The similarities of these 2 teams are uncanny. This game will be a great barometer as to which coaching staff has started best.
I suppose b/c the Franklin/Tubs experience turned out so bad after most folks were soooo optimistic after the Chicken Bowl, it’s really hard to get optimistic. Malzahn should be able to get his offense in place…..do we have players that can operate a valid offense OR are the offensive cupboards as bare as some claim?
I was not nearly as optimistic as others going into last season. I’m not a pessimistic this year. AU wins at least 7 games….why? …because we are Auburn, we do have talent and now the coaching staff isn’t fighting itself and having to fend off the Powers That Be.
While my pick is obviously biased
I’m going with Tennessee in this one. Something like 24-17 or something. First off, a few good-natured rip-jabbing ;)
Prediction: Auburn makes fewer mistakes than the Vols, and Gene Chizik pulls out his first “quality” SEC win, 17-16 in Knoxville!
- 16 points? Does that mean we’re scoring 1 TD and 3 FG? With our “horrible” kicker? Or are we missing the game-tying extra point with out “wonderful” kicker?
- Don’t forget Bryce Brown. He’s gonna be a darned good Running Back. Oku is too. Honestly, I think both of our true freshmen will see significant playing time early. Also, last year’s game would have been ours without Fumblin’ Foster. (maybe).
- Explosiveness. I really think our offense will be more explosive this year. Zone-blocking is a much more explosive-style blocking scheme (I believe). I definately think we’ll be quite a bit improved on offense, but whether or not we’re good enough to be effective vs the Auburn teams that are almost always solid on D is another matter.
- Our Defense. I really don’t think you’ll see too much of a dip in our defense this year. While it’s almost scary to think of Barry improving, all signs point to him being even more dominant in MK’s schemes (think John Lynch — and I think Berry is better than Lynch). MK’s preached a solid stream of “We have to be the fastest team in the SEC” and, judging by how we were last year, I think we’ve got a good shot. We’re loaded in the secondary, though we definately do have some question marks. I think our Linebackers will turn in another solid year (name one year in the past decade and a half tennessee had below average LB’s). The biggest question is our D-Line where all I can say is, uhm, “BAW BAW FOOBAW GET TO DA BAW LIKE YOUS ON RED BULL!” or something Coach O-esque. There is our only real question mark on Defense, I think.
But, overall, a great (and mostly fair) look at the game. I do think this is a game where both sides have legit reasons to think they will win. Auburn fans are just wrong, though ;)
I hope for Vols' fans sake that Monte Kiffin simplified his D a little bit
His players at UT won’t have all day on the field and in the film room to study and digest a defense that complicated. Just look at how Callahan’s O turned out at Nebraska.
"If on-base percentage is so important, then why don't they put it up on the scoreboard?" - Jeff Francouer
by jd is legend on Jun 18, 2009 4:04 PM CDT up reply actions
I wonder if Chizik calls Monte Kiffen "Sensai"?
Chiziks installation of the Tampa 2 (modified slightly) at AU took a full year before we stopped seeing the small mistakes that resulted in big plays for the opponents….I see no reason for it to be different at UT and I don’t think that the lack of a Defense will be Lane Kiffens biggest concern. He had better hope that the offense (just like AU) finds an identity and is able to score.
I would have gone to bammer if my grades hadn't been good enough to go to AU
Zone-blocking can be...
…..REALLY effective. The idea is to leave defenders on the far side unblocked, and overload the play side with linemen blocking into the next level. Can break some monumental gains! The problem with it is communication. If one guy gets confused as to who he should block, your back gets hit five yards deep. “Uh, I though you signaled ‘slide protection?’”
…..More to the point, defenses these days usually slant and stunt, and wrong guesses hurt, but you’re talking SEC speed chasing it down and still holding it to less than ten yards. With Auburn’s linebackers that return, that might be iffy. Right on the slants guesses kill drives. I do think a front seven that’s a step slow can KILL you, against a typical Gus Malzhan attack. Whether that step is from hesitation or ability, the result is the same. Gus likes to get quick-hitters out on the flanks, and the front seven on D better be prepared to run, all game long. Assuming that our quarterbacks aren’t trying to bounce-pass those screens out there, or sailing them into the stands. I saw both frequently, in Auburn’s spring game…
……I don’t know what kicker UT will come up with. Just like I don’t know whether Auburn’s guy, Byrum, will play like his freshman year, or sophomore year! 16 points could mean anything, like when the Vols scored 21 on us in Knoxville, in 1989, with two safeties in the equation. Just a guess!
Vol Fan
I think it’s funny reading this as a UT fan. We both “like our chances” and both spend a lot of time rationalizing how our teams COULD be good. But if you read an Auburn sight, the consensus is Auburn has the slight edge. All the sites I read say UT has the edge. Kind of funny to watch.
Can we start the damn season already?
Well, my explanation for 2004...
…..in Knoxville comes from watching it on TV. Vol fans already KNEW that they had two freshman QBs that were going to shoulder the load. Auburn came out, showed some defensive looks and threats, that they hadn’t before. It clearly rattled the freshman QBs. Timeouts, passes quickly sailed out of bounds… That’s going to silence nearly any home crowd. I felt like if Tennessee settled down, they could get back in it, watching. The back-breaker was that 2-minute-drill drive before the half. The throw-back screen to Brown for a bunch, then the STRIKE on the deep square-in to Taylor. Bam-BAM, 31-3. Game over…
……I was in the Auburn Band, in the stands, for that 1980 42-0 shellacking from Tennessee, till we played the Alma Mater at the end. Worst loss of my lifetime, and most embarrassing time EVER, as a Tiger. See, some of our students had decided that it would be funny and intimidating, to bring case after case of oranges into the stadium. The visiting players entered the field, right under the student section, in the southeast end zone. I don’t know HOW those fans figured ANYONE would be intimidated by a team that only beat Duke 35-27, but there ya go… Oranges flew. Players quickly strapped on helmets, ignored it, and beat the living $hxx out of us! Hopefully, we learned something out of that… Bad deal, all around. I hope I NEVER see that sort of thing, again!
……My “predictions” are really Auburn-optimistic wild guesses, in case you haven’t noticed! I can say this: if either team manages significant improvement at quarterback, this one could be a LOT more high-scoring!
……My question for the Vol posters: Do I get any recognition for being the first non-Tennessee blogger who does a Vol post this year, with no Lane Kiffin jokes? Because I don’t think the offseason banter will make a hill of beans difference in the outcome. Players will win this thing.
I'm going to this game!
And I’ll make sure to contribute as much as possible to the Neyland home-field advantage. This should be a pretty even game and I give the edge to UT basically because I’m a Tennessee fan. Neyland will be plenty loud, especially with the new energy surrounding the program. The only problem will be if Auburn jumps out to a substantial early lead. If Auburn does that, then the crowd will get quiet real quick. As long as UT prevents an early jump from Auburn then they should win the game because of home-field advantage.
Florida Sucks!

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