6/21/2009: '09 Season W/L Pick 'Em Right Now
by WarEagle86 on Jun 21, 2009 12:27 PM CDT
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PrintJust to get some discussion going, and talk some football, I've looked our schedule and made some picks shootin' straight from the hip. I picked so quickly I didn't even try to settle on a score for the games. It's only June, and things certainly can change dramatically between now and September. But I just want to know how YOU have the season mapped out in your head as of right now.
Here's mine:
9/05 La. Tech: Win
9/12 Miss. State: Win
9/19 West Va: Loss
9/26 Ball State: Win
10/03 @ Tennessee: Loss
10/10 @ Arkansas: Win
10/17 Kentucky: Win
10/24 @ LSU: Loss
10/31 Mississippi: Loss
11/07 Furman: Win
11/14 @ Georgia: Loss
11/28 Alabama: Win
Record: 8-5; I think we will win our bowl game as well.
That was how I picked them in about 30 seconds time, so certainly arguments can be made on almost all of these results, so I want to know what you think. How do you think the season will play out at this point in time?
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9/05 La. Tech: Win
9/12 Miss. State: Win
Just not enough talent to hang with us this early in the season and with a scheme package to boot. We will certainly see how good Dan Mullen is at prepping an offense when he tries to take advantage of the players in place right now.
9/19 West Va: Win
I think they just have too much youth on the offensive line to really move the ball on us. Devine will still get his yards but they will come in chunks like last year, but without White under center I don’t see them putting up a ton on us. Their defense is also very young. I think we clip them by one touchdown.
9/26 Ball State: Win
I think we win but this one will actually end up close. I am not sure that we have the depth on defense to hang with an in-place spread offense.
10/03 @ Tennessee: Loss
I think UT’s defense is going to be too good for us and their offense will put up a couple touchdowns to beat us.
10/10 @ Arkansas: Win
A really young team on both sides of the ball. I think that from this point on in the season, our wins and losses are going to revolve solely around injuries. If we don’t suffer anything major before Arkansas, we win it. If we lose a few key players by this point, we lose.
10/17 Kentucky: Win
Their offense wasn’t great last year and they are just as young this year. I think we win this one by a few touchdowns.
10/24 @ LSU: Loss
I don’t think that injuries will matter much in this one for us, LSU just has too much talent and they will make a run at us. LSU by two touchdowns.
10/31 Mississippi: Loss
Second best QB in the SEC, a couple solid receivers, but replacing a few great linemen. This should be a good game.
11/07 Furman: Win
11/14 @ Georgia: Win
Caleb King and AJ Green are the keys for UGA to win another one against us. King can be just as great as Moreno was and Green is arguably the best receiver in the SEC, but no quarterback with any experience. Young defense to boot. We can win this one.
11/28 Alabama: Loss
I don’t see us hanging with Bama again this year. If we can stay healthy and if Bama suffers one or two big injuries, we can make a game of it though.
8-4 regular season for a Chic-Fil-A bowl.
I can totally see that.
There are some factors, depending on where they fall, that can totally swing our season in one way or another. And you mentioned some of the important ones. Eg: our health, our o-line play & establishing the run game, and the way we’ll ultimately matchup. There are plenty of questions, and too few answers. I could actually see us making a run to 9-3 record with someone stepping up strong in the QB position; unfortuantely that’s a waaaay outside shot.
War Eagle
Thanks for this article.
I love this kind of prognosticating.
LA Tech – Win. If we lose this then we are going to be bad, really bad.
Miss St. – Win. We have more talent than they do, and more heart as well. We have much to atone for from last year. Our veteran players will play with emotion and conviction.
West VA – Win. They don’t have a veteran QB and are in some disarray as well. We have an experienced, if thin, OL. That has to count for something. We have corrected most of last year’s flaws, both coachwise and playerwise. Heck, if we had stayed with the first half’s strategy we would have won last year.
Ball St – Win. Maybe I’m being cavalier, a dangerous attitude given Bama Vs Utah. But we are Auburn dagnabbit.
Tenn – Win. They have one QB but no one behind him if he goes down. Lane Kiffin is their coach. Ding dong. Yeah, their defense might be okay, but they have no kicker, at least from what I saw of their T Day game.
Arky – Win. They may improve from last year. But so will we, and we are farther along than they are. If our OL stays healthy, we will prevail. This is about the time when injuries start to exert themselves, though. Hopefully we will have some backup OLmen trained up just in case.
Kentucky – Win. They are having problems. Their burst of glory is over.
LSU – loss. This is the first really good team we face in the season. Their QB showed some real skill in his debut end of last seaon’s bowl game.
Ole Miss – Win. The Nutt does not repeat. Malzahn is smarter than he is. Chizik is a defensive genius. Those two coaches have almost everybody except for Miles and Saban outclassed. Have faith.
Furman – Win. We need a rest and here it is. Maybe our second string, if we have one, can run up some scores.
Georgia – Win. Richt knows he has a young QB and a bunch of new kids to work with. Now, we haven’t beat the dawgs in awhile. So we’re due. And this is the perfect year to make a statement. Will they wear the black jerseys? Hope they do.
Bama – Win. Oh yeah, baby. We win because it will be so sweet. They have a new QB and Andre the Giant is gone. They had real problems filling his spot last year and it cost them.
In reality, I have set 8-4 as our minimum acceptable goal. But 10-2 is possible. And as you can see my picks put us at 11-1. That is if we stay healthy on OL and Malzahn finds a successful mix of plays based around whomever is at QB. If it is Kodi, then we will have to use options, reerses, and that play outlined in the excellent article where the WRs trail the RBs in a sort of triple option. If Kodi can make some short passes to the flats and every now and then sail a rocket downfield, this will keep the defense from rushing us every play.
If Caudle gets the job, then we will have to make quick pass plays and use a mix of running and gunning. A strong backfield will make Caudle’s job easier.
I’ve heard other bloggers talk about Todd. I don’t know if he is healthy. He is smart enough, though. That’s his greatest strength, his mind and his calmness in the pocket. He can make reads and evaluate the situation quickly, I have to give him that.
You bring up some interesting points.
11-1 though? That may be a tad lofty, but what’s wrong with shooting for the stars every now and then? I honestly think with the correct matchups and a strong season from the QB position we could well exceed your 8-4 goal, and certainly just getting back to a winning season.
The thing right now is, so many questions all over the place. I want so badly to leave the stadium on September 5th impressed and excited. We’ve got to have us a winner under center though, I can’t take anymore mediocrity at that position. We’re an SEC mainstay and force to be reckoned with, we need an offensive field general who can take the ball when the chips are down and come through it cool headed and execute the correct reads and play calling.
War Eagle
I love this stuff.....
Picking a won loss scenario this far out shows just how much we truly love our Auburn Tiger football.
La Tech – win
MSU – win
W Va – Win!!!
Ball St. – win
@Tenn – toss up. That’s one tough place to play. If we are injury free though, watch out for a big SEC win
@ Ark – win
Ky – win
@ LSWho? – loss
Ol Miss – win
Furman – win
@ Ga – toss up
Alabama – WIN!!!!!( no self respecting Tiger fan can choose a loss to Bama)
Capital One Bowl – win
I see 10-3 or 11-2 with a bowl victory. But I am wearing my Orange and Blus glasses tonight.
WAR EAGLE!
WarEagle86, I was reading a blog you posted about this very same thing back in January 09. It’s funny how much more pessimistic people were back then. A few were just glad to get 6 or 7 wins. I think hopes are a little higher now.
One guy sort of had the same picks as me. He even scolded everyone like “get your heads up and stop moping around.”
I’m sorry, that was WarEagle Michigan. Too many WarEagles running around.
His blog post was “What does 2009 hold?”
Haha, its cool
I love talking about this kind of stuff. And I’m loving the optimism in this blog with pretty good points to back it up.
And again, sorry to beat a dead horse, but I really want to see something from our QB position. I really want a playmaker there; whether it be Kodi, Caudle, Rollison, or Favre (haha..). I want to see someone making plays.
War Eagle
So not one person will pick AU to beat LSU next year...
Even though LSU was the worst team out of LSU, UGA, Ole Miss and Bama last year…
But 2/3 think you will beat UGA (and the other is a toss up not a loss)
2/3 think you will beat Ole Miss
2/3 think you will beat Bama (I think yall were actually joking on this one though)
Interesting…
Do you guys have that much confidence in LSU’s team or are we just the lesser of 4 evils?
in the recent past...
whoever wins the AU vs. LSU game has the inroad to the west title. I will not concede a loss to anyone, they must earn it. That being said, LSU has recruited their weaknesses and built a big monster over there. Mile has proven he can recruit with anybody, and still must prove he can manage gameday. It still comes down to the athletes and nobody can honestly say LSU doesn’t have plenty with spares.
As for the lesser of four evils, that would be Georgia in my book. I have many Bulldog fans as friends. We just haven’t beat them recently, and I need the peace and quiet this year(read…please oh, please).
I swore I wouldn't log on here while I'm at the beach....
but my wife is at the pool and I think I can get away with it…..shhhhhh.
9/05 La. Tech: Win
9/12 Miss. State: Win
9/19 West Va: Win
9/26 Ball State: Win
10/03 @ Tennessee: Win
10/10 @ Arkansas: close one but likely a loss
10/17 Kentucky: Win
10/24 @ LSU: likely a Loss (results in a tie for the SEC west and unfortunately the tiebreaker goes to LSU)
10/31 Mississippi: Upset win
11/07 Furman: Win
11/14 @ Georgia: Win
11/28 Alabama: Win
I would have gone to bammer if my grades hadn't been good enough to go to AU
Our win over Ole' Miss'
will be an upset and we’re going 10-2? Sounds like some exciting goings on in the SEC this year. Interesting picks man, thanks for the perspective.
War Eagle
I don't see Ole Miss being able to handle the lofty expectations.....
and it will be a cold day in hell when I pick Bama over AU the rest of the picks I feel like we have the talent to do it.
I would have gone to bammer if my grades hadn't been good enough to go to AU
I know exactly what you mean.
I took each game one at a time and looked at their situation vs ours, without regard to the overall W-L tally. I surprised myself when I found I had us 11-1.
Logically, I keep projecting 8-4 with 10-2 possible. But on a case-by-case basis I come up with 11-1.
I have been reading up on all of our competition, and really, they are all in turmoil/transition. At least we have an OL unit intact from last year. An experienced if slightly hinky QB. Good ball carriers. And great coaches. Gone is the passive/aggressive resistance from last year. Everyone has something to prove. And pride is a mighty motivator.
Our guys are warriors. They have pride. I know they want to redeem themselves after last year. That was not Auburn.
Ole Miss has a lot of returners. But they’re stuck with Nutt. When has he repeated as head coach?
Georgia is really facing a new crew of kids. And Bama has a new QB and some holes on their OL to deal with.
Tennessee has a goofy coach, one sort of good QB, but their offensive squad is not experienced. Okay, their D is being touted as something substantial. But you gotta put points on the board, as we learned last year. Their kicker muffed an easy one.
Of all the teams we play this year, only LSU comes on strong with a good QB and a lot of returners on both sides of the ball.
But to be totally honest, I’d be lying if I said I didn’t think we had a chance to beat them, too.
Heck, last year’s LSU game was very close. In fact, all of our games except for two were very close. And I’m chalking them up to weird play calling and strategy breakdown. The close one’s were missed kicks of one kind or another, either missing a field goal, extra point, or giving our opponent good field position. Apparently we have fixed those bugs. And then a few lousy passes. That is the one area where we need help. But even last year, Kodi made some amazing pass plays at critical times. So he has the ability. He’s just not consistent.
We have a single identity now and a purpose. We’re on a mission. That focus will energize our players and make them play beyond what they think are their limits. This is what I love about college football. For these players, it is all about pride/winning.
You make a very strong case KungFu.
We certainly could make a run this season, I’m apprehensive to say so as to not get my hopes up. But just like you say, when you step back and take a deep breath and look at each game they don’t look unreasonable at all. As of right now, however, I must keep my 8-5 predicition intact until I see more for myself.
Great addition, keep ’em coming!
War Damn Eagle!
War Eagle
Here it goes...
1. La. Tech – Win. All I want out of this game is for our offense to put up more than 20 points (the number our pathetic offense put up in the opener last yr. againt ULM) in the season opener. That will be a good sign for the offense. 1-0.
2. Miss. St. – Win. And a big one at that. I fully expect us to beat State by at least two TDs. MSU is in a full-blown transition mode, they will be playing a lot of freshmen, and they just don’t have the players to run Mullen’s system yet. I think their offense will be just as bad as ours was last year, although if they can get good QB play, it could be a little better. 2-0.
3. West Va.- Win. This one will be closer, but I expect us to win by a TD or so. There will be a bit of a transition for the Mountaineer offense without Pat White, but Jarrett Brown is no slouch and has experience being that he’s a senior now. The WVU defense is non-existent though. Their defense can’t stop anybody, and as long as our offense is somewhat productive against them, we score 20 points easy. 3-0.
4. Ball State – Win. No Nate Davis means no chance. 4-0.
5. Tennessee – Win. This one will be a nailbiter, in my opinion. Tennessee doesn’t have a QB and the offense as a whole isn’t very good, but Neyland Stadium, as everybody knows, is one of the most hostile places to play in college football. I think this is an ugly game for our offense, turning the ball over 3 or 4 times and allowing Tennessee to stay in the game. But in the end, we win by 3 or 4 in a low-scoring affair and are very fortunate to do so. 5-0.
6. Arkansas – Loss. Arkansas will be the most improved team in the SEC this year. Petrino finally has a big, strong armed QB to run his high-octane offense in Michigan transfer Ryan Mallet, and I think they put a lot of points up on the board against us. Our offense scores, too, and believe it or not, I think this will be a mini-shootout in the SEC, but Arkansas prevails in front of its home fans. 5-1.
7. Kentucky – Win. Not a whole lot of offense. No defense. 6-1.
8. LSU – Loss. We will not go into Tiger Stadium on a Saturday night and win. If it was at home, I would give us a better chance. I think this one will be close, but as much as I hate to say it, the Bayou Bengals will win again. 6-2.
9. Ole Miss. Win. This game could go either way. I like Ole Miss to win, and I like Auburn to win. The key matchup in this game is going to be the Ole Miss O-line against the Auburn D-line, especially new Ole Miss LT Bradley Sowell (although it could be mega recruit Bobby Massie), who takes the place of All-American and first rd. draft pick Michael Oher, against Auburn’s pass rushing specialist Antonio Coleman. Our offense is going to put some points on the board and I think our D-line wins the battle against Ole Miss’ O-line. Ole Miss, as mentioned, will have some new starters on the O-line and we will get enough pressure on Jevan Snead throughout the game to make him feel uncomfortable and throw a couple of picks. We win by 7. 7-2.
10. Furman – Win. No explanation needed. 8-2.
11. Georgia – Loss. Unlike our QB situation, Georgia plugs in QBs after the previous starter leaves, and the new QB gets the job done. Joe Cox will be no exception. I don’t think UGA will score a lot of points, but unfortunately, neither will we. A.J. Green and freshman Marlon Brown make some plays in the fourth quarter, and that will be the difference in the game. Auburn’s heart will be broken once again. 8-3.
12. Bama – Loss. Sorry guys. Being an Auburn fan, I want so badly to pick a win against the Bammers. I want to say we’re going to kill them down in Jordan-Hare Stadium, but I have to look at it realisticly. Right now, the talent level on the two teams isn’t close. It’s just not. Alabama has great depth up and down the depth chart and has been accumulating great talent ever since Nicky stepped on campus. However, a first-year starting QB can make all that a moot point. It doesn’t matter how good the talent is our your QB if he can’t throw accurate passes or if he’s not mentally strong. I think the game will be closer than people believe because we’re playing at home, we will rattle their QB and our offense will score, but in the end, Bama pulls out another disgusting win. 8-4.
We play in the Chick-Fil-A or Capital One Bowl.
Go Auburn
Go Auburn Tigers!! Can’t wait for another successful season. I found lots of great Auburn gear at http://www.thecollegeshack.com/category_s/187.htm check it out.
by The College Shack on Jun 25, 2009 12:46 PM CDT reply actions
best case scenario, D holds strong, O makes measurable improvement. 5-7. worst case? is bad.
9/05 La. Tech: Win
9/12 Miss. State: toss up: dan mullen’s team will put up more than 2 point this time around. will mahlzan’s?
9/19 West Va: Loss: want to call this a toss up, but noel devine, and last year.
9/26 Ball State: Win
10/03 @ Tennessee: Loss : road game. close to a toss up
10/10 @ Arkansas: Loss : no way you stop mallet and petrino from scoring 24 +. no way ya’ll can score nearly that much this soon, particularly on the road
10/17 Kentucky: toss up : their D line is vicious. the O had better be coming around by know or ya’ll could drop this one
10/24 @ LSU: Loss
10/31 Mississippi: Loss
11/07 Furman: Win
11/14 @ Georgia: Loss
aheem 11/27 Alabama: Loss: lose by at least 28 points or more.
welcome to the SEC kiffykins...
You continue
to do your fellow bammer flamers proud…what a tool.
by SandMountainTiger on Jul 7, 2009 10:58 AM CDT up reply actions
or the entirely realistic score prediction?
i dont have to remind you that Bama is capable of beating auburn by worse and then cite last years score do i?
welcome to the SEC kiffykins...
I would say
Tempebamafan has it right. It looks like 5-7 from here. Your coach went WINLESS in the Big 12 last year. The only teams he beat were South Dakota State and Kent State. Not to mention you have no true starting quarterback and a new offensive coordinator. Expect in 2010 to be the most improved SEC team.
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