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The 10 Surprises of the 2009 SEC Football Season

The great thing about SEC football is the unexpected. We can spend hours in front of the computer and evenings reading publications; yet something always happens between September and January to surprise us. Last year it was the fall of Auburn and the sudden rise of Alabama. It was Ole Miss coming out of nowhere to set itself up as the media darling this season. It was Georgia failing to live up to expectations and LSU losing five games.

As we get ready to kickoff the 2009 season, the truth is, we really don't know what's going to happen. And that's what keeps all of us coming back. With that as a backdrop, I'll foolishly try to predict 10 things that will surely happen between early September and January. Feel free to throw these up in my face as the season progresses. I expect nothing less. Here goes...

  • Auburn pulls a big upset in the SEC. Who knows when or where, but Gus Malzahn's offense is too creative not to sneak up on someone. Plus, first year coaches almost always pull surprises. Look back to 1999 and Tommy Tuberville's surprise blowouts of LSU and Georgia. And let's not forget Terry Bowden's magical run in 1993.
  • Auburn loses to a team it shouldn't. See first bullet. With surprises comes disappointment - usually. A new coaching staff and new systems almost guarantees a stumble somewhere down the road. Rarely does a season go as predicted. This year is no different.
  • Tiger Athletic Director Jay Jacobs manages to tick off most of Auburn's fanbase at some point during the season. Rarely does Jacobs go more than a few months without alienating himself from everyone - see Chizik hiring and the Tailgate Guys.
  • Florida repeats as national champion. Not only is this the most talented SEC team in more than 10 years, the Gator's schedule sets up perfectly. Non-conference opponents include: Charleston Southern, Troy, Florida International and Florida State. A trip to Baton Rouge on October 10th will likely be Florida's toughest test until the SEC Championship game.
  • Ole Miss loses three games. All fans have heard since January's Cotton Bowl is how loaded the Rebels will be in 2009. Sure they're playing with Steve Spurrier's favorite quarterback, Jevin Snead, but they are also without left tackle Michael Oher. And we all know how difficult it is to replace a tackle. Right Bama?
  • Speaking of Spurrier, the Ole Ball Coach finally throws in the towel at South Carolina. This year's team is his best ever, but no one notices because he plays in the SEC East.
  • Georgia's Mark Richt will be on the hot seat at year's end. They'll lose for the 17th time in 20 tries against Florida; and Georgia Tech will claim two straight against its in-state big brother.
  • Lane Kiffin goes 7-5 in his first season in Knoxville. The Vols shake off their 49 point loss to Florida in early September to rebound and earn a trip to the Independence Bowl. In his final press conference of the season, Kiffin guarantees a 21 point victory over the Gators in 2010.
  • LSU surprises everyone and captures the SEC West. They lose to Florida by three touchdowns in the championship game in Atlanta. Purple Tiger fans demand Les Miles' resignation.
  • ESPN's Lee Corso ends his run on College Gameday. After suffering a stroke earlier this year, the old coach returns as good as always, but ultimately decides enough is enough. The show is never the same. Soak it all up one last time.

There you have it - my list of 2009 surprises. Will they all happen? Who knows - probably not, but you can bet something a lot stranger will happen by year's end. Right now we don't have a clue. And that's why SEC football is a lot like Christmas morning. Only 25 days and a wake up before Louisiana Tech. Get packing!


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If LSU loses to UF by 21 in the SECCG...

The entire LSU fanbase will give a collective sigh of relief. Nobody will be disapointed with a trip to ATL no matter the outcome of the SECCG.

And for the record, I wouldn’t be surprised at all if this happened. LSU hasn’t missed the SECCG in an odd numbered year in 10 years. Those are the years we get AU at home. That may not matter this year, with Ole Miss and Bama finally fielding respectable teams, but that’s the way it’s played out in the past.

by LSU Jonno on Aug 10, 2009 8:54 AM CDT reply actions  

With that schedule, does UF deserve a shot at the NC?

Just checking Steele’s SOS rankings, UF is at #34, whereas other contenders, such as VaTech & USC are at #8 and #17 respectively. Other dark horses, such as FSU, OkSU, and GaTech all have schedules ranked considerably higher.
However, we all know that if three (or more) teams run the table, and one of them is UF, there is ZERO chance UF gets left out of the NC game, meaning one of the above teams would get left out. Good for UF I guess. Bad for whichever team gets the 2004 AU treatment :(

by TexasAUtiger on Aug 10, 2009 9:02 AM CDT reply actions  

If they run the table, yes...

If they have one loss, it’s up for debate. Hard to argue against a slate that includes LSU, Georgia, and South Carolina on the road with FSU at home. It doesn’t matter that they have a bunch of cupcakes otherwise because they’re already starting at pre-season #1 and LSU in Baton Rouge is never easy. And yes, I’ve already conceded a Georgia defeat because I’m 25 and losing to Florida is basically all I know.

http://hobnailboot.wordpress.com/

by AuditDawg on Aug 10, 2009 12:05 PM CDT up reply actions  

LOL.

Well, considering what the dawgs have done to AU three years running, all I can say is I feel your pain.
One thing I didn’t take into consideration is that the polls look at more than just your W/L and SOS. I mean, sure, VaTech may play a tougher schedule, but if both VT and UF go undefeated (with similar margins of victory), would I or any other sane person honestly say VT is the better team? Nope. Why? Because UF is friggin loaded with talent and good coaching, and even though VT beat better teams, odds are UF would wipe the field with them. I guess that is the beauty of the polls. Ugh, I feel a little dirty even saying that, but it’s true. The system may be flawed, but it’s no worse than the system that declared the Giants a better team over a one-loss Patriots team.

by TexasAUtiger on Aug 10, 2009 12:38 PM CDT up reply actions  

Exactly...

Why does Florida’s easy non-conference schedule mean they’re “set up for a national title run,” yet in 2004 Auburn’s wasn’t good enough (despite playing #5 LSU, #10 Tennessee twice, #5 Georgia, #9 Virginia Tech…)? Go figure.

"Tigers make history. Undefeated, unmatched, undeniably the best team in Auburn football history, and the best team in the nation. They are YOUR NATIONAL CHAMPIONS, Auburn fans. The TIGERS are 13-0!" -- Rod Bramblett, AU Network, 01.03.05

by AUshorecm on Aug 10, 2009 12:06 PM CDT up reply actions  

Jay...

More I think about the more I’m afraid we’ll stink this year. No definitive qb and very little depth. Ill be stoked with a bowl appearance!

by ArieGold on Aug 10, 2009 9:40 AM CDT via mobile reply actions  

No sense in being negative

This is Auburn. I never expect anything less than 8 wins just because of who we are. I say both teams enter the Iron Bowl with similar records, maybe both at 8-3, or Auburn at 7-4 and uat at 8-3.

"Tigers make history. Undefeated, unmatched, undeniably the best team in Auburn football history, and the best team in the nation. They are YOUR NATIONAL CHAMPIONS, Auburn fans. The TIGERS are 13-0!" -- Rod Bramblett, AU Network, 01.03.05

by AUshorecm on Aug 10, 2009 12:08 PM CDT up reply actions  

Rest assured...

That when Corso finally meets his maker, there will be some Auburn fan at the funeral holding up a sign saying 62-0

by War Eagle Atlanta on Aug 10, 2009 11:54 AM CDT reply actions  

About the Mark Richt "hot seat" thing

No one can definitively say the guy is going to be on the hot seat, but then again I never thought Tubbs was in any trouble (Fulmer is another story). I think you need to step back and realize the circumstances surrounding Richt that are different from Fulmer and Tubbs. First off, the man is leading the greatest run in Georgia history since a guy named Herschel was carrying the football. Secondly, the revenues flowing into the Georgia athletic association are sky-high right now which is obviously in large part due to the success of the football program. Thirdly, and this is what separates him from Tubbs and Fulmer, is that the administration loves the guy and there isn’t one huge booster (cough “Lowder” cough) that could do him in.

Now, I will concede your loss to Florida, but no way in hell does Georgia Tech win two in a row. What does a three point win against the worst defense in Athens in 20 years guarantee? Anyways, I realize that most of this is hyperbolic on purpose, but no way is Mark Richt on the hot seat by years end. Maybe from the “fringe fanbase”, but not from the rational 70% that make up the majority of Georgia fans that love the guy and would have no one else running the program.

http://hobnailboot.wordpress.com/

by AuditDawg on Aug 10, 2009 12:10 PM CDT reply actions  

I don't see Georgia...

…..losing to Tech again, either. UGA was poorly prepared on defense, and I don’t think they’ll make that mistake twice! They’ll be work done on assignment earlier, and you won’t see a Georgia back seven standing around, waiting for someone else to make a tackle. Even as badly as the Georgia D played, it was still a close loss. Tech’s D got diced up in that game, too!

by Acid Reign on Aug 10, 2009 12:55 PM CDT reply actions  

Strangely enough...

An LSU/Florida match-up in Atlanta would be the 1st ever meeting of permanent East-West opponents in the SEC title game. It’s never been Auburn/georgia; it’s never been tennessee/uat; and it’s never been lsu/fla.

"Tigers make history. Undefeated, unmatched, undeniably the best team in Auburn football history, and the best team in the nation. They are YOUR NATIONAL CHAMPIONS, Auburn fans. The TIGERS are 13-0!" -- Rod Bramblett, AU Network, 01.03.05

by AUshorecm on Aug 10, 2009 5:32 PM CDT reply actions  

Nope

Actually, in 2000, Auburn-Florida had a rematch in Atlanta and were at the time permanent east-west opponents.

by War Eagle Atlanta on Aug 10, 2009 8:24 PM CDT up reply actions  

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