Friday Iron Bowl on the Plains!
Can the Tigers move a mountain?
War Eagle, everybody! Time now for an early Iron Bowl preview. This year, Alabama will visit Auburn at Jordan Hare Stadium, on Friday, November 27th, 2009, the day after Thanksgiving. This will be the sixth Iron Bowl played on a Friday. Auburn has won three of the previous five, most recently in 1988. While Auburn will have had a Saturday off the previous week, Alabama will be coming off a tune-up match against Tennessee-Chattanooga. The Tide likely will enter this contest as a top ten team, in contention for the SEC Western Division Title. Barring poor injury luck, Auburn should be around 7-4 on the year, and jockeying for bowl position.
The 2009 edition of the Alabama defense should loaded. The Tide returns 9 starters on a team that finished 3rd nationally in total defense. The stars are senior nose guard Terrence Cody and junior linebacker Rolando McClain. It's possible that both of those players will be selected in the first round of the next NFL draft. Six of the front seven return. The only serious loss for the Tide defense is All American free safety Rashad Johnson. The Tide is fairly young behind the starters in most cases, but it's a pool of players drawn from some great recruiting classes. If there is a weak spot, at all, it might be with a new free safety. Even so, the best strategy for attacking the Bama D remains the same: work the sidelines, and make 'em run.
Bama has some question marks on offense, having lost 7 starters from a year ago, including veteran quarterback John Parker Wilson, top rusher Glen Coffee, and 3 NFL-caliber offensive linemen. Junior quarterback Greg McElroy appears to be the pick to run the offense, and sophomore runner Mark Ingram is striving to become an every down back. The star of the returnees is sophomore wide receiver Julio Jones, who was a freshman All-American last season. Senior offensive linemen Drew Davis and Mike Johnson also return.
Bama is in a rare position on special teams. Nearly everyone is back, from a pretty good unit. Senior Leigh Tiffin handles the kicking, and senior P J Fitzgerald punts. Alabama has one of the best return men in the nation, in senior cornerback Javier Arenas. If there's a special teams area where Bama is not exceptional, it's coverage. Bama's kickoff coverage was average, and punt coverage was suspect, in 2008. With a bit more veteran group this year, look for coach Bobby Williams' guys to show improvement.
Matchups (It's a not an official Bama depth chart, ai'ght?)
Auburn defensive line vs. Alabama offensive line: In last year's Iron Bowl, from the second Bama drive onwards, they took it right at the strong side of Auburn's line, against SenDerrick Marks and Michael Goggans. The result was a 234 yard rushing day, and 4.7 yards per carry. The Auburn line made a few tackles, and held their own, but it was not enough. This season, Auburn will have similar strength on the line. Bama usually runs between the tackles, with up to 9 blockers on the play. It won't be enough for Auburn's line to simply play to a draw. The Auburn line must get penetration and disrupt. Alabama returns senior guard Mike Johnson, and senior right tackle Drew Davis. Beyond those two, it's safe to say that the starting jobs aren't nailed down, at this time. Junior William Vlachos is the most likely to start at center. Bama has a plethora of large young linemen to choose from, to fill out the other two spots, perhaps none as impressive as 350 pound true freshman D. J. Fluker. Advantage: Auburn.
Auburn linebackers vs. Alabama runners: Erratic linebacker play was the order of the day for Auburn, in last year's Iron Bowl. This year's situation may be even worse. Juniors Josh Bynes and Craig Stevens are the only significant experience that returns for Auburn at linebacker. This fall so far, Auburn cannot keep a weak side linebacker healthy. As of this writing, true freshman Jonathan Evans is running with the starters, because there's no other scholarship linebackers able to practice. Bama remains pretty well loaded at running back. Sophomore Mark Ingram is the heir-apparent, after tallying 743 rushing yards last season as a true freshman. Behind Ingram is junior Terry Grant, who has great speed. Incoming freshman Trent Richardson is highly regarded, and might be used as Ingram was, a year ago. Advantage: Alabama.
Auburn corners vs. Alabama receivers: Auburn's starting corners Walter McFadden and Neiko Thorpe should be very solid this fall. Both have continued to win praise in fall camp. As elsewhere with the Tigers, depth is a problem, as converted receiver Harry Adams is currently the 3rd corner. Bama sophomore Julio Jones is the most talked about, but he's hardly the only good wideout Bama has. Senior Mike McCoy will start opposite Jones, and off the bench the Tide has sophomore burner Marquis Maze, and sophomore Darius Hanks. Slight Advantage: Alabama.
Auburn safeties vs. Alabama secondary receivers and quarterback: On paper, this seems a very favorable matchup for Auburn. The Tigers return two veteran safeties. However, health remains an issue in fall camp. Junior Zach Etheridge is back at strong safety, playing well. But free safety Michael McNeil is still rehabbing a broken leg. Whether McNeil will be full-speed by Iron Bowl time is not clear. Auburn has several options, including Mike Slade, Drew Cole, and incoming true freshman Darren Bates, who is turning heads in fall camp. Alabama has to replace their 2008 starters in this category. Gone are tight ends Nick Walker and Travis McCall, as well as quarterback John Parker Wilson. Bama's best option at tight end appears to be senior Colin Peek, a Georgia Tech transfer. Peek is a tall, strong target with good hands. Others vying for playing time include sophomore Brad Smelley, junior Preston Dial, and sophomore Chris Underwood. Junior Greg McElroy takes the helm at quarterback, and by all accounts, is doing well. None of Bama's other quarterbacks were terribly impressive in the A-Day game, and the Tide may look to incoming freshman A. J. McCarron as the backup quarterback. Advantage: Even.
Punting: Clinton Durst averaged 42.1 yards per punt for Auburn last year, in his first season, with 18 of 70 punts pinned inside the 20 yard line, against 4 touchbacks. Bama returns senior P. J. Fitzgerald, who averaged 41.1 yards per punt, with 15 pinned inside the 20 on 59 punts, and 4 touchbacks. Auburn's punt coverage gave up 7.0 yards per return, the Tide gave up 9.0. While Auburn is still trying to find a punt returner, Bama returns Javier Arenas. Arenas averaged 15.9 yards per return, with 3 touchdowns. Arenas has 6 career punt return touchdowns. Advantage: Alabama.
Kickoffs: Both teams look to improve in this area, this year. Auburn's Wes Byrum averaged about 67 yards per kickoff during the spring, and appeared very consistent during the A-Day game. Bama senior Leigh Tiffin averaged 64.1 yards last season. Auburn coverage gave up 21.5 yards per return, Bama gave up 21.8. Auburn junior Mario Fannin is the most experienced kick return man, averaging 22.5 yards per return. Alabama's Javier Arenas averaged 23.6. Slight Advantage: Auburn.
Placekicking: Wes Byrum returns for his third year for Auburn, having hit 27 of his 42 career attempts. Byrum had something a sophomore slump last season, hitting only 11 of 19. All indications are that Byrum is kicking it much better, this year. Bama senior Leigh Tiffin handles the kicking for the Tide, and he's had his ups and downs, too, none as painful as a series of missed kicks in a one point loss to Arkansas in 2006. Last season, Tiffin was 20 out of 29, and for his career, he's 53-76. That's 64 percent for Byrum, 69 percent for Tiffin, overall. Advantage: Alabama.
Auburn offensive line vs. Alabama defensive line: Auburn will field a strong group of offensive line starters, but current word is that we have not even one backup that can play at an SEC level. Last season, this group managed the unlikely feat of playing to a draw against the Bama front. Unfortunately, that took all five linemen to deal with 3 guys, and left the rest of the Bama back seven running free. Senior All-American nose guard Terrence Cody returns for the Tide, and word is that he's dropped some weight, and is more mobile and dangerous than ever. Senior end Brandon Deaderick provides stability with 22 career starts going into the season. Senior Lorenzo Washington will likely start at the other end slot, but he's also an experienced nose guard, and can relieve Cody if the big man gets tired. Beyond that, Bama has about a half dozen more guys that can play at an SEC level. Advantage: Alabama.
Auburn backs vs. Alabama linebackers: Auburn's backs look to be more dangerous, this season, with Mario Fannin moved to H-back, and the emergence of newcomers like Onterrio McCaleb and Eric Smith, behind Ben Tate. Still, against hordes of unblocked linebackers, no one can succeed. Auburn MUST be able to block better, this season, from the skill positions! An impressive Bama linebacking corps is led by junior All-SEC behemoth Rolando McClain. McClain is defensive-end sized, at 260 pounds, but runs like a safety. Sophomore Dont'a Hightower is another big, 250 pound Bama backer, who is equally at home covering backs out of the backfield, or setting up with a hand down and rushing the passer. Joining McClain and Hightower will be senior Cory Reamer, and senior Eryk Andrews. There is some depth behind the big 4, but not as much as in other Tide areas. Advantage: Alabama.
Auburn receivers vs. Alabama corners: Auburn will be mostly inexperienced at wide receiver, returning only senior Montez Billings with any significant past production. Spring leader Tim Hawthorne is still injured. Wide receivers coach Trooper Taylor is talking about all 4 true freshman receivers playing. This is perhaps the most critical matchup of the game, as it's nearly impossible to move the ball on Alabama, without exploiting the sideline. For Alabama, it's an experienced group of corners. Between senior Javier Arenas and junior Kareem Jackson, there are 41 career starts, before this season begins. These two are fast, and stick to receivers like glue. If there's a weakness, it might be that Arenas is only 5' 9". When the situation calls for a nickel defense, the Tide can call on senior Marquis Johnson, who's been solid for several years. Advantage: Alabama.
Auburn secondary receivers and quarterback vs. Alabama safeties: The news out of Auburn is that a starting quarterback has finally been settled on, and that man is 5th year senior Chris Todd. There still are questions about Todd's arm strength, and durability, but not about the man's persistence. Written off and left for dead last October, Todd won the starting job in 11 days of fall camp, over incumbents Kodi Burns and Neil Caudle. Auburn should have some options at the inside receiver positions, with 5th year senior tight end Tommy Trott, and junior Mario Fannin in the slot. Last season, Trott missed the Iron Bowl due to injury, and Fannin was playing tailback against stacked Bama fronts. These two MUST have a great game, especially blocking, for the Auburn offense to have a chance. Bama returns senior safety Justin Woodall, who was a surprise last season. Besides having good hitting skills, Woodall had 4 interceptions and 8 passes broken up. Not bad at all, for a strong safety! Penciled in to start opposite Woodall is sophomore Robby Green, a converted cornerback. With Green, Bama has 4 or 5 good sets of hands in the secondary. Advantage: Alabama.
Auburn must find a way to move the ball effectively against Alabama, or another blow-out loss is likely. It's going to take a great, mistake-free effort. The Tigers MUST use the whole field, and spread Alabama out. First time Iron Bowl starters at quarterback generally have a rough go of it, and it's really important for the Auburn defense, and the home crowd, to make Greg McElroy's first such start miserable.
Prediction: A transition year, and a lack of depth hurt Auburn in the 12th game of the season. Auburn gives Alabama more of a battle than a year ago, but the Tigers fall: 27-17.
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38 comments
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Comments
a plethora?
Yeah, I think you nailed the assessment. I am worried about our LBs this year. We’re young and paper thin.
I like our ball carriers and Gus Malzahn. If our OC can save some high speed chicanery (since you used plethora, I felt challenged to come up with one) for this game, maybe we can use clever plays to avoid Bama’s mass. You know, like the Asian art of KungFu?
Our kicking has to be better this year, as well as quarterback play/management.
My greatest concern is depth. We’re already seeing problems without having taken a snap in anger. Tate?
Our kids have heart and a reason to win. Hopefully a better coaching staff can meet the challenges we face and find a way to make it happen.
Unfortunately, Bama is the better team now. The Tigers have to stay healthy to be competitive. By the last game of the season, inexperience is no longer a problem. We will play a lot of young guys, and they should be ready by last game.
If injuries and depth do not wipe us out, we can compete at home with Bama. I do believe we are far more cohesive at this point. Everyone appears to have bought in, and that togetherness has got to help, versus last year’s disaster.
War Damn Eagle !!!!!!!!!!
Good write up
but Marquis Johnson a solid player? Not at all; he is terrible. Couldn’t cover Tony Franklin down the sidelines. I hope by this point Dre Kirkpatrick has the starting job along with Kareem jackson.
We are not the same persons this year as last; nor are those we love. It is a happy chance if we, changing, continue to love a changed person. ~W. Somerset Maugham
I am very disappointed in this write up.
There were no unnecessary, back handed jabs at our biggest rival. There is no outrageous prediction of a lopsided upset. You didn’t give us or the bama fans anything to get worked up about. After the Ole Miss post, I expected MORE!!!
But seriously, this is a good post and I agree with everything you said.
by Jumpn_JackFlash on Aug 20, 2009 9:09 AM CDT reply actions
If we stay healthy.....
it will be a very close game with the outcome up for grabs down to the wire. Even if AU stumbles against a team they should beat or loses a couple of swing games as long as they avoid injury AU will be a solid unit by the time the Iron Bowl comes around. And our seniors, juniors, and sophomores know how to win. I still say we have a great chance to be better than 7-4 by this point.
There Jack that will probably draw a turd response.
I would have gone to bammer if my grades hadn't been good enough to go to AU
Todd
You need to read more Joe Cribbs Car Wash. Otherwise you may be suicidal by the time the iron bowl comes around. Where are you picking Auburn to finish in the West?
by LSU Jonno on Aug 20, 2009 9:44 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions
I read JCCW everyday, lol....
good board but I don’t comment on it. As far as my pick, it goes as the health of the team goes, but we won’t finish lower than 4th in the west. I know that we could have incredibly bad luck and lose depth in crucial areas early and the season could become grind really early. But I still say its entirely possible that we compete for the west if we have the kind of luck that bama had keeping players healthy last season. And our depth on LB will improve with some of our young guys getting back from the minor injurie and gaining some experience as the season goes along. Our offense will be productive enough under Malzahn……..I have confidence in his coaching ability.
I would have gone to bammer if my grades hadn't been good enough to go to AU
I've said it before.....
my cup is half full.
I would have gone to bammer if my grades hadn't been good enough to go to AU
But your not going to poopoo chizick...
If the injury bug bites and AU goes 6-6 right? The bama injury situation of 2008 is the exception, not the rule. I wouldn’t bank on an injury free year especially with the amount of nicks yall have had in preseason.
And speaking of injuries, when us an auburn fan going to implicate the strength and conditioning program there?
by LSU Jonno on Aug 20, 2009 1:40 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions
I have never been one to call for the coaches head....
at least until they have proven to be unworthy to be the coach. I was ready for Dye to leave but I was in the minority….wanted Bowden to stay (again in the minority) and wanted Tuberville to stay (while in the majority there it was the minority in this case that pulled the strings). So no in my book Chizik has at least 4 years and really 5 unless he tanks horribly. I actually am encouraged and optimistic about Chiziks chance for success at AU due to the positive changes he has affected as well as the coaching staff he has assembled. And no I will not be upset over a 6-6 season as long as there is good reason for it (like injury to certain thin areas like OL and LB). There is no one on this board that can say they have seen me have the knee jerk response especially about firing coaches.
I would have gone to bammer if my grades hadn't been good enough to go to AU
I've pretty much....
……Picked a 7-5 season, 4-4 in the West. Middle of the pack. If we get a Tulsa-level offense out of this crew, we’ll be a lot better. I still see lead blocking issues, and line depth hurting us. I’m HOPING that wide receiver play is drastically improved! I foresee a defense held together with spit and baling wire. Latest column from Chris Low says that we shouldn’t expect Tim Hawthorne or Mike McNeil back till AT LEAST mid-season…
……If we REALLY get banged up, We might only beat MSU, Ball State, and Furman. Winnable but tough: La Tech, at Tennessee, Kentucky, Ole Miss, and Georgia. I’m figuring we drop one or two of those. Seriously difficult games: West Virginia, at Arkansas, at LSU, and Alabama. We might get one upset out of those.
I still have La Tech as a win.....
barring complete disfunction. I would have WVU as winnable but tough (swing game) and Ole Miss as seriously difficult. And it wouldn’t surprise me if we drop one or two to the teams you mentioned but at the same time we win one or more against Ar-kansas, LSU, Bama, and Ole Miss.
I would have gone to bammer if my grades hadn't been good enough to go to AU
Really?
I have us at 6-6 too but with wins over both. Which team do you have us beating that I don’t? LSU?
"You just keep pounding balls into the gap. The one thing you don’t want to do is hit a home run. That’s a rally-killer." - Jeff Francouer
by jd is legend on Aug 21, 2009 12:26 AM CDT up reply actions
Probably WVU
I wouldn’t put money on yall losing to La Tech, I just think yall will be inconsistent.
by LSU Jonno on Aug 21, 2009 8:33 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions
All the odds makers are giving us 13 points in our first game. Those guys usually get it right.
by KungFuPanda9 on Aug 21, 2009 11:34 AM CDT up reply actions
I fully expect
a win over uat. I would expect nothing less from any Auburn team. I think by the end of the season things will look very different from the way they look right now. I believe both teams will come in to the Iron Bowl around 8-3 or 7-4. Winner goes to the Cotton Bowl, loser goes to the Chick-fil-A Bowl. That’s just my prognosticating. WAR EAGLE!
"We're at AUBURN. I think that says it all. We're going after the best in the country -- no matter when, what, where, how. That's how we're going to do it. We're going to work really hard to try to get that done every year -- including this one." -- Auburn University Head Football Coach Gene Chizik
thats the kinda attitude
Jumpin_JackFlash was looking for…well done sir!
Scoring against Alabama will be like birthing a child: rare, painful, and messy. - The Ghost of Jay Cutler
wait..
So if you have Bama coming in to Iron Bowl a possible 8-3 or 7-4 that means you believe that we lose to VT, Ole Miss, AND LSU, and the other number has us losing to arky…
Okay, seriously? You don’t think we can pick up at least one of our three tough games? VT is at a neutral site and LSU is at home and you don’t think we can get win in EITHER? Hell I’m even able to pick yall to win the first four dood
(Your Team Here) sucks
by Wallacewade04 on Aug 21, 2009 1:33 PM CDT up reply actions
Actually I don't believe.....
he has said which games he thinks you lose……dude.
I would have gone to bammer if my grades hadn't been good enough to go to AU
well this isn't my usual schtick
VT Ole Miss LSU are the swing games
Arky is the “trap games” leading to the Iron Bowl
Suggesting at this point L’s with again Tenn @Uk or Miss State wouldn’t make very much since
The game that is in the hazy world between lock and trap (again at this point of preseason) is USCar and that (AGAIN at this point) is leaning closer to the lock side than the trap side
so yea, if your gunna pencil in Alabama with 3 losses I would assum it would be losing to Arky at home, VT neutral, Ole Miss away, or LSU home
Then that further illustrates that he doesn’t think Alabama will do very well in those games either losing 3 of 4 or all 4
unless he has us being upset by the games below the “trap game” status, which to call that at this point in the season wouldn’t make much sense…
whew… too much rational… I need to trash talk… auburn = poo… there, I feel better
(Your Team Here) sucks
by Wallacewade04 on Aug 21, 2009 4:24 PM CDT up reply actions
I think that in rebuilding the line....
and a new QB that the typical will happen and that is you will lose at least 1 that you probably shouldn’t and I exect you to go at best 2 of 3 against LSU, Va Tech, Ole Miss and I expect that you could lose a swing game with lackluster play or just bad luck….this is the SEC and there is no absolute on any conference game. But like everyone says thats easy part is talking about it…….I’m fired up about college football and I’m tired of speculation and I want to see somebody gettin busted in the chin and then giving it back, its going to be a long 2 weeks.
War Damn Eagle
I would have gone to bammer if my grades hadn't been good enough to go to AU
something we can agree on
I’m about to burn my eyes out watching youtube highlights from past games
(Your Team Here) sucks
by Wallacewade04 on Aug 21, 2009 5:21 PM CDT up reply actions
What does it matter that he predicted bama to be 8-3 or 7-4 ?
If it truely bothers you that someone on a blog predicts a worse record for your team than you think it should be, then you are way too sensitive. Blogs are all about opinions and he is entitled to his. And you know what they say about opinions.
I feel bama will be either 9-2 or 10-1 going into the Iron Bowl. Would I bet on either? No. It is all speculation at this point. It is a long season (that has not even started) with a lot of variables so there are a number of ways it could play out. Maybe the injury bugs hits bama hard and they lose several key players and the record slips. Maybe another team or teams comes out of no where to surprise us all and has a great year, and happens to beat bama this year. If that happens, 7-4 or 8-3 going into the Iron Bowl is not out of the question.
But whatever happens, enjoy it (because football season is always great), don’t stress too hard about it, and good luck to your team.
by Jumpn_JackFlash on Aug 21, 2009 6:08 PM CDT up reply actions
For all I know
you might lose to another Sun Belt team like you did just 2 short years ago. How should I know?
"We're at AUBURN. I think that says it all. We're going after the best in the country -- no matter when, what, where, how. That's how we're going to do it. We're going to work really hard to try to get that done every year -- including this one." -- Auburn University Head Football Coach Gene Chizik
I'm always late responding to posts on here.
It’s likely that none of y’all will come back and read this again, lol. I’ve got to learn to be quicker with my responses.
"We're at AUBURN. I think that says it all. We're going after the best in the country -- no matter when, what, where, how. That's how we're going to do it. We're going to work really hard to try to get that done every year -- including this one." -- Auburn University Head Football Coach Gene Chizik
Here we go
it begins…
http://www.rollbamaroll.com/2009/8/20/996062/courtney-upshaw-arrested
"Jay Jacobs can't go to the bathroom without Bobby Lowder's permission" - Paul Finebaum
Eh,
It certainly sucks for Upshaw, but this is one of those cases that ultimately will be dismissed (as these types of cases usually are dismissed). However, we don’t need to lose any more linebackers.
by HarveyBirdmanAAL on Aug 20, 2009 10:58 AM CDT up reply actions
A lot of times
you get d-bags who like to provoke athletes just to see if they’ll react.
"Jay Jacobs can't go to the bathroom without Bobby Lowder's permission" - Paul Finebaum
by GumptownTiger on Aug 20, 2009 1:21 PM CDT up reply actions
Great writeup.
Very unbiased and thorough. Good stuff (not just because you predicted Bama to win…)
"There's a lot of blood, sweat, and guts between dreams and success" - Coach Bryant
What is funny is
That isn’t really Cody with Saban. It’s the dude from Webster.
He just looks huge cause Saban is so tiny. He’s like the Napoleon of the SEC.
"Jay Jacobs can't go to the bathroom without Bobby Lowder's permission" - Paul Finebaum
I just wish someone would post something else already...
and get that picture off the top of the page. It is bugging the sh-t out of me.
by Jumpn_JackFlash on Aug 21, 2009 11:05 AM CDT up reply actions
I agree....
Put a picture of Croyle getting one of his 12 sacks or Calvin taking a pee on the A emblem.
Very nice read
I agree on just about all of that.Auburn has talent in places but I it takes depth to win in this league.
I think you know what I mean...
Just
Gotta get outside on offense, and plug on defense.
If hip hop is dead, then it happened the day that Dilla died.
-Akrobatik
Pretty fair assessment
but a lot will depend upon injuries. Auburn has so many areas that, if hit be an injury spree, won’t be the same. I don’t believe Bama is in that situation.
The further along in the season....
that AU goes without major injury to the OL and LB the less the concern the depth will be at those positions. several of the backup OL such as Eddins should be back and healthy and several younger players such as Sullen will have playing time and help shore up the depth. Same goes for LB….the longer the first squad stays healthy the more time to develop talent and make the 2 deep more solid. Now I am not suggesting that the problem will be gone were we to stay healthy deep into the season but at least it will be less critical. And no Bama is not in that situation at least not from appearances, but thats exactly where they were last year and it paid dividends by getting alot of younger players meaningful experience for this season and ready to fill shoes more proficiently by the end of last season. I am hoping (obviously) for the same kind of luck for AU this season. No major injuries and we will be fine.
I would have gone to bammer if my grades hadn't been good enough to go to AU

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