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Taking A Look At Auburn's First Opponent: Louisiana-Monroe

Alabama will never forget last year's ULM game - Neither will we.

By Acid Reign
paraswarm@aol.com

This is the first installment, in a series of previews of Auburn opponents in 2008. Today we look at Louisiana-Monroe...

The fun begins at last, on August 30th, against Louisiana Monroe, at Jordan Hare Stadium. As any Alabama fan could tell us, this is a team that definitely should not be overlooked.

When we last played Monroe, coach Charlie Weatherbie had just taken over the moribund squad, and we hung 73 points on them in a homecoming laugher. Louisiana Monroe would give up 467 points that year, an average of almost 39 points per game. That 1-11 squad is no more. The Warhawks have improved quite a bit under Coach Weatherbie.

.....Charlie Weatherbie is now in his 6th season with Louisiana Monroe, and the Warhawks have risen to the upper echelon of the Sun Belt Conference. Weatherbie is a veteran, hard-nosed coach, with previous head coaching stints at Utah State, and Navy.

Coach Weatherbie has emphasized defense, and the running game. The Warhawks finished second in points allowed, 332 for the season, in the Sun Belt Conference, last year. That trailed only Troy. ULM had a penchant for creating turnovers, as witnessed against Alabama last season.

On offense, ULM ran the ball 46 times per game, and threw it 28 per game. They had the leading rushing attack in the Sun Belt, averaging 209 yards per game, and 4.5 yards per carry. Overall, the Warhawks averaged 384 yards per game.

.....Charlie Weatherbie faces personnel challenges this year, having had to replace 4 departed assistant coaches, as well as a number of key players. Steve Farmer will take over coordinating the offense, moving up from the offensive line.

The line that paved the way for the best rushing attack in the Sun Belt, loses three starters, as well as the team's top rusher, to graduation. Sophomore Frank Goodin should be a capable replacement in the backfield. He rushed for 596 yards as a freshman, averaging 5.1 yards per carry.

The starting defensive front seven will be solid, if unspectacular. There is almost no depth behind them.

.....All of ULM's starting receivers return, and they'll be bolstered by the return of speedster J. J. McCoy, who was out last season with an achilles injury. ULM also has a veteran senior quarterback, Kinsmon Lancaster.

Lancaster will be going into his third season as a starter. Last season, he completed 59% of his passes, for a respectable 6.3 yards per attempt. He threw 13 touchdown passes, against 10 interceptions. Lancaster was only sacked 14 times all season.

Match Ups...

Auburn defensive line vs. ULM offensive line: This should be a clear win for the Tigers. I don't envy the rookie ULM linemen getting their first action against SenDerrick Marks, Antonio Coleman, and Antoine Carter!

Auburn linebackers vs. ULM backs: Again, this will be advantage, Auburn. We are quite deep, and fast. This linebacker corps is very experienced in shutting down good backs. See Dmac, Tebow, Green-Ellis, etc., from last season.

If the D-line is causing havoc, as I think they will, the linebacker should feast on backs in the backfield.

Auburn corners vs. ULM receivers: Jerraud Powers should be able to take one guy away from the ULM arsenal, but the other matchups concern me. Aaron Savage and Walt McFadden have very little experience against major college receivers, and they'll be facing a fairly deep, veteran group. Advantage: ULM.

Auburn safeties vs. ULM quarterback and secondary receivers: We are starting two second-year players here, and they face a veteran QB and receiving corps. I liked the cover-two deep work our guys did during A-Day, but I was not impressed with their ability to stay with speedy receivers man-to-man. Our zone was very vulnerable underneath. Advantage: ULM.

Punting: Auburn's Ryan Shoemaker enjoyed an excellent rookie season, and punt coverage was generally very good. ULM returns a consistent punter, Scott Love, who averaged 42 yards per punt, and most impressively, had 23 punts downed inside the 20, against only 6 touchbacks.

ULM opponents averaged only 6.1 yards per return, and don't forget that they were the team that sent Javier Arenas to the shop... Slight advantage: ULM

Kickoffs: Auburn was abysmal early last year, with short kicks and poor coverage. This improved dramatically towards the end of the season.

ULM averaged kicking the ball to the 8, and gave up 23 yards per return. That's pretty good for ULM, but they have to find a new kicker this year. Advantage: Auburn, on experience.

Kick Returns: Frank Goodin averaged 22 yards per game last year as ULM's primary kick returner. Auburn wasn't terribly special here, last year, either. But, with the return of Tristan Davis, as well as Mario Fannin and Brad Lester, Auburn has a chance to be really good, if we can block! Advantage: Auburn.

Place Kicking: Wes Byrum proved that he can make the clutch kicks, last season, and he has a great leg. ULM has only one kicker (with no experience) on their website roster, redshirt freshman Radi Jabour. Huge advantage, Auburn.

Auburn offensive line vs. ULM defensive line: Auburn has a veteran, nasty bunch, as well as great depth. ULM's starting guys are capable, but not noted for speed.

They posted 20 sacks last season. There is no depth for ULM. The no-huddle offense should take a serious toll, in the August heat. Big advantage: Auburn.

Auburn backs against ULM linebackers: ULM gave up 153 yards per game on the ground, last year, and they have depth issues. Auburn sports a plethora of talented backs that bring different styles to the table. Auburn should romp.

Auburn receivers vs. ULM corners: Auburn's receivers improved dramatically this spring. ULM replaces both starting corners. Big Advantage, Auburn.

Auburn Quarterback/secondary receivers vs. ULM Safeties: Auburn still has a bit of a quarterback controversy, it seems. ULM returns a speedy, veteran safety, Greg James.

James had 5 picks last season, and a lot of passes defended. We won't be able to abuse him like we did against our own safeties during A-Day. Jerred Berry is solid, at the other safety, as well. Advantage: ULM.

.....On paper, the Tigers should win big. ULM will hang tough for a while, and they'll have some success on offense, if they manage to throw it around early. ULM may look better than expected, on defense, too.

I doubt Tony Franklin will show too much of the new offense. We'll likely just pound the ball, and try to wear the thin ULM front seven out. The only way this game will be close is if ULM totally stones our running game, creates turnovers, and gets a quick-passing game going on.

Likely, Auburn will be way too much, even with most of our best schemes kept under wraps. Under Coach Weatherbie, ULM has usually been a slow-starting team, not playing its best football till November.

.....Prediction: Auburn prevails, in a ho-hum, 38-13 victory.

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Fearless prediction

28-14, a little closer than you think. I don't care if we don't beat them by 50+ points, I just want 1) to keep our guys (relatively) rested, 2) no injuries, and 3) a win.

I think the win over Alabama last year keeps them from surprising us this year (hopefully!!).

Don't forget the last season we opened with ULM!!

War Damn Eagle!

by PowerOfDixieland on Apr 11, 2008 9:47 AM CDT   0 recs

season?

what was the last season we opened with ULM?

Auburn never lost an Alabama game while a i was a student. 02-07

by auskip07 on Apr 11, 2008 11:31 AM CDT   0 recs

2004

31-0 victory

War Damn Eagle!

by PowerOfDixieland on Apr 11, 2008 1:39 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

prediction

day game-31-14
night game-45-14
if its an early day game we will come out flat. the only day game we played worth a damn in last year was vandy. its just something bout us playin early games that i dont like. CTT needs to do something about that lil habbit. night games for the most most part (not unincluding USF) create a very hostile environment for the opposing team. that as we all know is a huge advantage for our tigers and pushes them even more. the only reason we lost to USF is because ole Cox couldn't hit water if he fell out of a boat.

WDE

by wnpatterson on Apr 11, 2008 5:17 PM CDT   0 recs

By the way...

.....I don't know what's up with the formatting on these posts! It threw away the indents on my A-Day post, and added a bunch of extra paragraph breaks. I added in my hokey period/ellipsis indents on this one, but it seems to add line breaks randomly. It ain't me!

.....I'm picking Auburn to score points because I don't think ULM will be able to deal with Auburn's o-line. They will try to press, and I think the result will be various Auburn players running loose in the open field. AU receivers block pretty well, too, especially Rod Smith.

.....The game's almost certain to be a night game. It's unlikely to be picked up for TV, and we might even see one of those 5 PM kickoffs, like Ole Miss, last year.

.....There is a LOT of guesswork in a pre-game summary, six months in advance. It will be fun to look at these things down the road, and see how far I was off!

by Acid Reign on Apr 12, 2008 8:47 AM CDT   0 recs

Paragraph breaks

It did the same thing with mine, Acid. I had more paragraph breaks than sentences. Sometimes your format doesn't jive with SB's.  Or maybe Jay screwed the pooch!  :-)

Night game for ULM? What are they going to do during the day?  Have an Alan Jackson concert?

Even Finebaum is picking us to win this one, so I feel much safer now...  :-)

by War Eagle Atlanta on Apr 12, 2008 9:58 AM CDT   0 recs

I'm figuring...

.....They'll play ULM at night, because we don't play well in the morning anymore, plus there's that "sit in the sun in August for 3 hours," thing.

.....I didn't use much fancy formatting in my posts. I  typed 'em up in OpenOffice Writer (12 pt. Times New Roman, default style) and pasted the final draft into Thunderbird email. Looked ok when it was sent... Maybe I need to select "plain text" instead of .html next time, when I send!

by Acid Reign on Apr 12, 2008 1:54 PM CDT   0 recs

Another good blog Acid.

But I still have to say our corners and safetys are being maligned a little to early. As I have mentioned previously...if Coach Tuberville is correct about our recievers they could make our D-backs look worse than they really are. I'm in "wait and see" mode. I do agree that Franklin keeps it simple until the first real test comes along. But simple in this offensive scheme is capable of big numbers as we saw in the peach bowl a few months ago. I am certainly optimistic.

And wnpatterson are you getting alot of joy out of beating on that dead horse? Not only do I disagree but that is hardly relevant to our current situation. There was never anything wrong with Cox's accuracy just his decision making and as soon as last years offense found its identity running the ball he no longer felt as if he had to win the game (i.e., force passes into coverage trying to make a play) and his QB rating went to where it was expected to be at the beginning of the season. And all of the boo birds (pity that happened at our alma matre) went back into the woodwork where they belonged.

War Eagle Atlanta I meant to tell you, as well as Acid, kudos for stepping up. Thank you for doing it.

by Todd92 on Apr 14, 2008 11:45 AM CDT   0 recs

Thanks, Todd

But I'm sure you're good for a rant here and there.  By all means, feel free to share when the mood hits!

But at least remain as our watchdog.  I'm still laughing at that post when you told the corndog to go away...

by War Eagle Atlanta on Apr 14, 2008 9:14 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Corners and safeties...

.....I'm more concerned about the safeties. As to corners, we know Jerraud Powers is a good one. Aaron Savage didn't play that badly, either. His technique needs some work, but he was there with his man all the time. It wasn't a bad showing at all, for a guy who was a safety two months ago! Walter McFadden has talent and speed, too. It's just going to be an experience issue, starting out this fall.

.....My concerns about safeties may be a case of a scheme that didn't fit, for A-day. There appeared to be a serious ravine in the short center of our D, that day. Linebackers, safeties, or a nickleback, whomever. Somebody's got to cover that stuff, on gameday!

.....I'm glad people are enjoying my stuff! Thanks!

by Acid Reign on Apr 14, 2008 1:46 PM CDT   0 recs

Todd

i'm just talkin about Cox in that game. its was terrible, thro out the year yes he and our offense grew but it wasnt by leaps and bounds.

by wnpatterson on Apr 17, 2008 9:04 AM CDT   0 recs

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